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HS2 productivity “lower than planned”

28 Oct 22 New transport secretary Mark Harper has told parliament that “lower than planned productivity and additional design costs” had added £1.1bn costs to the first phase of the HS2 project.

The latest statutory six-monthly report to parliament was delivered yesterday, 27th October, by the newly-appointed secretary of state. Previously it was a job for specifically designed HS2 minister Andrew Stephenson, but he was moved to a new job in July and his old one has yet to be re-assigned to anyone else.

Mark Harper reported that the final delivery cost of phase one of HS2 (London-Birmingham) was likely to exceed its target cost of 拢40.3bn but remained within its overall budget of 拢44.6bn, which includes contingency held by HS2 Ltd and by the government. However, HS2鈥檚 contingency pot has come down from 拢5.3bn to 拢4bn over the past two years.

All figures are 2019 prices.

So far, 拢18.3bn has been spent on the project, with an additional 拢1bn set aside for land and property provisions; 拢10.6bn has been contracted but not yet spent. The remaining amount is not yet under contract.

HS2 Ltd has drawn 拢1.5bn of its 拢5.6bn delegated contingency for phase one, an increase of 拢200m in the last six months, leaving about 拢4bn.

HS2 Ltd is projecting around 拢1.9bn of what is referred to as 鈥渘et additional cost pressures鈥 on phase one, an increase of 拢200m since March.

Of this 拢1.9bn, the biggest component is 拢1.1bn (up 拢300m since the last update) 鈥渇or potential additional main works civils costs stemming largely from lower than planned productivity and additional design costs鈥.

The transport secretary said that 拢800m of net savings and efficiencies had been identified within phase one. These principally consist of savings across the main works civils portfolio and savings in the acquisition and resale of land and property.

All figures are 2019 prices.

We asked HS2 Ltd for some details of the productivity issues being faced on the project. We were told we should address our questions to the Department for Transport (DfT). The DfT did not return our call.

Evolution of phase 1 HS2 Ltd contingency (2019 prices) drawdown

Oct 2020 March 2021 Oct 2021 March 2022 Oct 2022
Total HS2 Ltd contingency drawdown and % used 拢0.3bn (5%) 拢0.4bn (7%) 拢0.8bn (14%) 拢1.3bn (23%) 拢1.5bn (28%)
Total HS2 Ltd contingency remaining 拢5.3bn (95%) 拢5.2bn (93%) 拢4.8bn (86%) 拢4.3bn (77%) 拢4.0bn (72%)

The full report can be found at

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